TT vs 99: the numbers
| TT | 99 | |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 81.10% | 18.48% |
| Ties | 0.42% | 0.42% |
| Equity | 81.31% | 18.69% |
Exact figures from all 1,712,304 boards for T♠ T♥ vs 9♦ 9♣. TT is roughly a 4.4-to-1 favorite.
Why the odds look like this: pair vs lower pair
99 is drawing almost entirely to the two remaining nines. A set comes by the river roughly 19% of the time, and the rest of its equity comes from straights and flushes. When 99 wins, it is most often with three of a kind (46% of its wins) or a full house (32%).
How to play TT vs 99
When stacks are short, you can't avoid getting it in with 99 against TT. Deep-stacked, the smaller pair is a set-mining hand: call cheaply and commit only when you flop a set (about 11.8% of the time).
Try other hands in the free poker odds calculator.
Related matchups
Use these numbers at the table
Preflop equity tells you how often a hand wins if all the money goes in before the flop. To decide whether a call is profitable, compare your equity with the pot odds you are getting: use the pot odds calculator. In tournaments, short stacks decide with shove-or-fold ranges, so see the push/fold chart. To test any other hands or a specific board, use the poker odds calculator.
Do suits matter?
Yes, a little. Suited hands make flushes more often, and when two hands share a suit they block each other's flushes. That is why the same two hands can differ by one or two percentage points depending on suits. The figures above are exact for the example cards shown.
How we calculated these odds
We dealt out every possible five-card board (1,712,304 of them) for the example hands and counted wins, losses and ties. There is no sampling error: the numbers are exact for those cards.